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The “Signal Farming” Trap: How Startup Founders Accidentally Optimize for VC Attention Instead of Product–Market Fit

SimpliRaise Team
12/31/2025
15 min read
The “Signal Farming” Trap: How Startup Founders Accidentally Optimize for VC Attention Instead of Product–Market Fit

A contrarian, practical look at demo days, traction theater, and social-proof loops—plus a framework to detect when fundraising signals distort strategy, priorities, and long-term outcomes.

The “Signal Farming” Trap: How Startup Founders Accidentally Optimize for VC Attention Instead of Product–Market Fit

Founders rarely choose to abandon product–market fit (PMF) in favor of investor attention. It usually happens gradually, through incentives that feel rational in the moment: a pitch competition here, a “milestone” dashboard there, a carefully orchestrated PR spike that buys another month of runway.

Over time, a company can become excellent at producing signals—the credible, legible markers that VCs use to infer quality—without becoming excellent at producing value—the thing customers pay for, stick with, and tell others about.

This is the signal farming trap: optimizing the business for what funders can measure quickly, rather than what customers prove over time.

This article takes a contrarian stance: many common startup rituals (demo days, traction updates, press, social metrics, fundraising narratives) are not neutral. They shape strategy. They can distort product priorities, hiring, and even ethics. And they can leave a company with impressive fundraising outcomes and weak market outcomes.

But it’s not as simple as “fundraising is bad.” Venture capital exists for a reason, and signals exist because uncertainty is real. The goal is to distinguish:

  • Signal as evidence (healthy): metrics and narratives that reflect genuine customer value.

  • Signal as substitute (harmful): metrics and narratives that look like value but aren’t.
  • Below is a framework to spot when the substitution is happening and how to correct course.

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    1) What are “signals,” and why do VCs rely on them?

    In early-stage investing, ground truth is scarce:

  • The product is unfinished.

  • Customer demand is unclear.

  • Markets can be nascent.

  • Financial histories are short.
  • So VCs use signals—proxies that correlate with outcomes across a population of startups.

    Common examples:

  • Team signals: prior exits, brand-name employers, elite universities, domain credentials.

  • Market signals: category momentum, TAM narratives, “platform shift” timing.

  • Traction signals: week-over-week growth, retention curves, enterprise pilots, revenue milestones.

  • Distribution signals: waitlists, community, influencer reach, partnerships.

  • Social proof signals: notable angels, top-tier co-investors, accelerators (e.g., YC), media coverage.
  • These aren’t irrational. They’re part of how capital markets operate under uncertainty (see venture financing and information asymmetry literature; foundational concepts appear across works like Akerlof’s "The Market for Lemons" on asymmetric information, and venture signaling research in entrepreneurship journals).

    The problem is that once founders understand the signals, they can start producing them directly—sometimes consciously, often unconsciously—without building the underlying product value that the signals are meant to indicate.

    That’s signal farming.

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    2) Why founders drift into signal farming (even when they know better)

    The trap isn’t about intelligence. It’s about incentives and time horizons.

    2.1 Fundraising has a shorter feedback loop than product truth

  • A pitch deck can be refined in days.

  • A narrative can be A/B tested across investor meetings.

  • A demo can look magical with a controlled dataset.
  • But PMF often takes:

  • multiple product iterations,

  • months of retention data,

  • painful customer discovery,

  • distribution experiments that fail repeatedly.
  • Founders naturally gravitate toward the loop that rewards them sooner.

    2.2 Runway converts attention into survival

    If you’re low on runway, VC attention isn’t vanity—it’s oxygen. That’s why the most dangerous signal farming happens when:

  • burn is high,

  • revenue is low,

  • and the team is large enough that payroll risk becomes existential.
  • Runway pressure pushes founders to optimize for what closes a round, not what creates durable customer pull.

    2.3 Accelerators and demo days can bias toward performative progress

    Accelerators can be enormously valuable—especially for networks, recruiting, and speed. But demo-day culture can inadvertently reward:

  • polished storytelling,

  • short-term growth spikes,

  • impressive logos,

  • surface-level momentum.
  • If the company internalizes “look investable” as the primary goal, it may postpone the messier work of building something people truly rely on.

    2.4 Social proof loops are addictive

    Startup Twitter/LinkedIn, podcasts, newsletters, and press can create a loop:

  • You share a win (funding, partnership, feature launch).

  • You get attention.

  • Attention brings intros and investors.

  • Investors validate the attention.
  • This loop can outcompete the quieter loop of retention, customer support, and incremental product quality.

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    3) The most common forms of “traction theater”

    “Traction theater” is the staged performance of progress. It’s not always fraudulent; it’s often a set of choices that maximize investor excitement while minimizing the revelation of underlying weakness.

    3.1 Vanity metrics dressed as growth

    Examples:

  • Waitlist signups without activation.

  • “Total users” without retention or cohort analysis.

  • GMV without contribution margin.

  • App downloads without engagement.
  • Why it works: Many investors (especially generalists or those moving fast) accept surface growth as a proxy for demand.

    Why it fails long-term: Companies eventually hit the wall of unit economics and retention reality.

    References/anchors:

  • Cohort-based retention as a core PMF indicator is widely discussed in product literature (e.g., Andrew Chen’s work on retention; Reforge essays on growth loops).
  • 3.2 One-time spikes mistaken for repeatable channels

  • Product Hunt launch spikes

  • influencer shoutouts

  • press hits

  • conference demos
  • These can be useful, but they’re not a channel until they’re repeatable and scalable.

    A classic smell: “We grew 40% last week.” If that growth is from a one-off event, it’s not learning, it’s fireworks.

    3.3 Logo collecting without depth

    Enterprise founders know this well:

  • “Pilot with BigCo”

  • “LOI signed”

  • “Design partner secured”
  • Those can be legitimate steps. But a company can end up collecting logos instead of building a product that survives procurement, integration, security review, and renewal.

    A practical question: Do you have referenceable champions and renewal intent, or just a slide?

    3.4 Demo magic with hidden scaffolding

  • Hard-coded workflows

  • Manual human-in-the-loop behind an “AI” experience

  • curated datasets

  • best-case latency and performance
  • Wizard-of-Oz approaches can be smart during discovery (they’re a known technique in lean experimentation), but signal farming happens when:

  • the demo becomes the product,

  • and the engineering roadmap becomes “make the demo scalable” rather than “make the customer outcome reliable.”
  • 3.5 Narrative arbitrage

    This is when the company continuously rebrands to match investor fads:

  • pivoting positioning from “marketplace” to “SaaS” to “AI agent” to “platform”

  • rewriting decks to chase whatever is hot this quarter
  • Good companies evolve. Signal-farming companies reshuffle adjectives faster than they accumulate customer proof.

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    4) When signals distort product strategy and team priorities

    Signal farming isn’t just a marketing issue. It changes what the company builds.

    4.1 Roadmaps become investor calendars

    The roadmap is anchored to:

  • demo day

  • a big conference

  • a fundraising cycle
  • rather than to customer learning cycles.

    This creates an anti-pattern:

  • build flashy features for a demo,

  • postpone reliability, onboarding, integrations,

  • neglect support and customer success.
  • In B2B, this is lethal. Reliability and trust are the product.

    4.2 Teams optimize for “pitch readiness” instead of customer value

    You see priorities like:

  • endless deck iterations

  • KPI dashboards crafted for investor updates

  • PR and brand work too early
  • All of these can be legitimate at the right time. The distortion happens when it pulls the company away from:

  • customer interviews,

  • core workflow improvements,

  • debugging churn,

  • shipping boring but necessary features.
  • 4.3 Hiring shifts toward optics

    Hiring can become signal farming too:

  • executive hires for credibility (big logos) before the company has product clarity

  • over-hiring GTM before retention is stable

  • expensive teams that increase burn and lock the company into fundraising dependency
  • A subtle version: hiring people who are great at telling the story rather than making the story true.

    4.4 Incentives start to drift

    Internally, people learn what gets rewarded:

  • hitting a metric that looks good in the update email

  • shipping something demo-able

  • announcing partnerships
  • rather than:

  • reducing time-to-value

  • improving retention cohorts

  • increasing depth of usage

  • making customers successful
  • ---

    5) The case for signals (the balanced view)

    Signals aren’t inherently bad. In many cases, signals are the best available data.

    5.1 VCs need heuristics

    Given the volume of startups and the uncertainty involved, VCs must triage.

    High-quality signals:

  • prevent time waste,

  • help match founders to capital,

  • can accelerate breakthroughs by funding ambitious bets.
  • 5.2 Fundraising itself can be a strategic tool

    Capital can buy:

  • time to iterate,

  • access to talent,

  • distribution help,

  • the ability to compete in winner-take-most markets.
  • For some businesses (deep tech, biotech, hardware, infrastructure), venture funding is often essential.

    5.3 Some “theater” is just communication

    A clear narrative and clean metrics aren’t deception; they’re how you communicate.

    The line isn’t “polished vs unpolished.” It’s:

  • communication that reflects reality

  • vs communication that replaces reality
  • ---

    6) A framework: How to detect signal farming in your startup

    Here’s a practical diagnostic framework: The Signal–Value Alignment Map.

    Step 1: List the top 10 signals you’re currently optimizing for

    Examples:

  • 15% WoW growth

  • “AI” positioning

  • being in a top accelerator

  • a high-profile angel

  • number of partnerships

  • enterprise pilots

  • ARR milestones
  • Be honest. Include the implicit ones (e.g., “founder Twitter presence”).

    Step 2: For each signal, write the underlying customer value it’s supposed to indicate

    Examples:

  • WoW growth → customers find it useful enough to return and invite others

  • enterprise pilot → serious budget holder sees ROI

  • partnerships → distribution leverage and trust transfer
  • Step 3: Test the causal link: does the signal force value creation?

    Ask:

  • If we hit this signal, does it necessarily mean customers are better off?

  • Or can we hit it through tactics that don’t improve the product?
  • If you can hit the signal while customers remain indifferent, it’s a high-risk signal.

    Step 4: Identify “substitution pathways” (how you could fake it without lying)

    This is key. Many distortions are non-fraudulent. They’re just selective optimization.

    Examples:

  • hitting growth via promotions that attract low-retention users

  • inflating “active” definitions

  • counting pilots as customers

  • showcasing a demo path that doesn’t represent typical user experience
  • If substitution pathways are easy, the signal is vulnerable.

    Step 5: Add a “truth anchor” metric that’s hard to fake

    Good truth anchors:

  • Retention cohorts (e.g., week 4 retention by acquisition channel)

  • Net revenue retention (NRR) for B2B

  • Time-to-value (median time from signup to first successful outcome)

  • Usage depth (e.g., number of weekly “core actions”)

  • Willingness-to-pay evidence (paid conversions, expansions)

  • Customer pull: inbound requests, referrals, users hacking workarounds
  • PMF is context-dependent, but retention + willingness to pay is hard to argue with.

    References/anchors:

  • The importance of retention and cohort analysis is a core theme across growth/product practice (e.g., Reforge retention essays; Andrew Chen’s retention work).

  • Sean Ellis popularized the “40% would be very disappointed” PMF survey as a qualitative truth anchor (often cited in PMF discussions).
  • Step 6: Create a “signal budget”

    Decide explicitly how much time you will spend on investor-legible work:

  • decks

  • demos

  • PR

  • events

  • founder social
  • …and cap it.

    A common operating rule for early PMF stage: 80–90% of effort goes to customer value and learning, 10–20% to fundraising readiness. The exact ratio varies, but the key is that it’s intentional.

    ---

    7) Practical countermeasures (without becoming anti-VC)

    7.1 Replace milestone goals with learning goals

    Instead of:

  • “hit $50k MRR by June” (outcome you don’t fully control)
  • Use:

  • “ship onboarding v2 and reduce time-to-first-value from 2 days to 30 minutes”

  • “run 20 customer calls with churned users and test 3 retention fixes”

  • “validate willingness to pay at $X with 10 paid conversions”
  • These produce compounding value even if fundraising timing shifts.

    7.2 Build an “investor-safe” metrics stack that doesn’t distort behavior

    Your investor update metrics should be the same ones you use to run the business.

    A simple set:

  • Activation rate (clear definition)

  • Retention (cohort curves)

  • Usage depth (core action frequency)

  • Revenue and margin (if applicable)

  • Sales cycle stage conversion (for B2B)
  • If you find yourself maintaining one dashboard for investors and another for reality, you’re drifting.

    7.3 Pre-commit to integrity in metric definitions

    Write definitions down:

  • What counts as “active”?

  • What counts as “customer”?

  • What counts as “revenue” (booked vs collected; annualized vs monthly)?
  • This prevents subtle slippage under pressure.

    7.4 Slow down the narrative churn

    If your positioning changes every few weeks, it’s usually a smell.

    A better approach:

  • Keep the category story stable.

  • Let the product details evolve as you learn.
  • If you must pivot, articulate:

  • what you learned,

  • what changed in customer reality,

  • what stayed consistent.
  • 7.5 Incentivize the team around customer outcomes

    In performance reviews and team rituals, celebrate:

  • customers renewing

  • support tickets resolved

  • onboarding improvements

  • reliability gains

  • measurable time savings
  • If the loudest celebration is “we got a term sheet,” don’t be surprised if the culture optimizes for the next one.

    7.6 Fundraise in tighter bursts

    Fundraising can sprawl and consume the company.

    Try:

  • preparing the data room and narrative in advance

  • running fundraising in a 2–6 week sprint

  • protecting product time with “no-meeting” builder days
  • This reduces the chronic attention tax.

    ---

    8) Red flags: How you know the trap is already sprung

    These are patterns that show up across companies stuck in signal farming:

  • You can’t articulate your retention curve without looking.

  • Customer calls feel like a distraction from “real work.”

  • Your biggest launches don’t change retention.

  • You have impressive top-of-funnel numbers but weak conversion.

  • You’re constantly “almost ready” to scale GTM, but churn is unresolved.

  • The product roadmap is shaped by external events (demo days, conferences) more than customer pain.

  • You raise money more easily than you win customers.
  • That last one is particularly telling.

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    9) What to do if you’re already deep in signal farming

    You can unwind it, but you have to be concrete.

    9.1 Declare a “PMF reset” period

    A reset is not a vibe; it’s a scoped project.

  • Freeze non-essential launches.

  • Focus on one ICP.

  • Rework onboarding.

  • Instrument retention properly.

  • Talk to users weekly.
  • Timebox it (e.g., 6–10 weeks) and measure progress with truth anchors.

    9.2 Shrink burn to reduce fundraising dependence

    Signal farming thrives when survival depends on constant capital.

    Reducing burn (even temporarily) buys you the freedom to pursue product truth:

  • slow hiring

  • renegotiate tools/contracts

  • cut spend that exists mainly for optics
  • This is unglamorous and often decisive.

    9.3 Rebuild around a single “core loop”

    If you have PMF, you can usually describe a loop:

  • user gets value → returns → invites others or expands usage → revenue grows
  • If you don’t have a loop, you have a sequence of campaigns.

    Focus on the smallest loop that could work, then iterate.

    9.4 Be honest with investors (good ones will respect it)

    The best investors prefer:

  • clear-eyed diagnosis

  • concrete experiments

  • credible learning
  • over continued theater. If an investor punishes honesty, that’s information too.

    ---

    10) Closing view: Don’t confuse legibility with inevitability

    Signal farming is ultimately a confusion between:

  • legibility (how easily outsiders can evaluate you)

  • inevitability (how likely you are to win the market)
  • A startup can be highly legible—beautiful deck, famous angels, crisp metrics—without being inevitable.

    PMF is not a narrative. It’s a sustained behavioral pattern in customers:

  • they adopt,

  • they stick,

  • they pay (or create clear economic value),

  • and the system improves as more people use it.
  • Use signals, but don’t worship them. The best version of venture-scale success is when your fundraising story is simply the byproduct of a product that customers would miss if it disappeared.

    ---

    References and further reading (non-exhaustive)

  • Akerlof, G. A. (1970). “The Market for ‘Lemons’: Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism.” Quarterly Journal of Economics. (Information asymmetry foundation relevant to signaling.)

  • Sean Ellis: PMF survey heuristic (“40% would be very disappointed”)—widely cited in PMF discussions and growth literature.

  • Andrew Chen: essays on retention, growth, and network effects (practical operator perspective on what metrics matter).

  • Reforge essays and programs: retention, growth loops, and lifecycle metrics (industry-standard frameworks).

  • Steve Blank: Customer Development methodology (systematizing customer discovery vs building in isolation).

  • Eric Ries: The Lean Startup (build–measure–learn; cautions around vanity metrics).
  • If you want, I can also add a short “Founder checklist” appendix (one page) or rewrite this for a specific startup type (B2B SaaS, devtools, consumer social, marketplaces, AI products), because the truth-anchor metrics differ by category.

    SimpliRaise Team

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